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China Yuchai International Limited

CYD
54
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
$43.90
-0.81 (-1.82%)
Market Cap
$1.65B
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

8.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 40.9M (2021) → 37.5M (2025)

China Yuchai International is a holding company based in Singapore that controls one of China's largest diesel and natural gas engine manufacturers, Guangxi Yuchai Machinery. The company makes engines used in trucks, buses, construction equipment, and agricultural machinery. Its main customers are vehicle and equipment manufacturers across China.

The company earns most of its revenue by selling engines directly to manufacturers, with additional income from parts and services. It operates almost entirely within China, generating several billion dollars in annual revenue, which makes it heavily exposed to Chinese economic conditions and government policy. Yuchai's long history and established relationships with major Chinese vehicle makers give it a degree of brand loyalty, but its low margins and low returns on capital suggest intense competition. The biggest growth driver is China's push toward cleaner engines and natural gas vehicles, though slowing truck demand and regulatory shifts remain meaningful risks.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+162.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+311.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$1.3B/ year

Rising (+34% vs prior year)

5.5% of revenue

In line with sector average (4%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

63.2%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$7.9B cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

China Yuchai International Limited grew revenue 162% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
18.9%
Thin — 18.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
2.1%
Thin — 2.1% operating margin
ROCE
2.1%
Weak — 2.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+42.3%
Fast-growing sales (42.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+35.6%
Earnings growing fast (35.6% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
626%
Turns 626% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
7.6%
Modest free cash flow (7.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.21
Conservative — low debt load (0.21)
Interest Cover
8.65x
Comfortably covers interest (8.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
3.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 3.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.22%
Small dividend — 1.22% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-71.7%
Dividend cut (-71.7% YoY) — warning sign

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