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Circle Internet

CRCL
28
Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services
Price
$60.46
-0.18 (-0.30%)
Market Cap
$16.16B
Winston Score
28
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+446.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 44.3M (2021) → 242.3M (2025)

Circle Internet Group is a financial technology company that runs one of the world's largest stablecoin networks. Its main product is USDC, a digital currency that is always worth one US dollar and runs on blockchain networks like Ethereum and Solana. Banks, crypto exchanges, businesses, and everyday users rely on USDC to move money quickly without the price swings of regular cryptocurrencies.

Circle makes most of its money from interest earned on the cash and US Treasury bonds it holds as reserves backing every USDC token in circulation. The company operates globally, with significant activity across the US, Europe, and Asia, and its moat comes from USDC's deep integration into crypto trading platforms and payment networks. However, the business is heavily exposed to interest rate risk — when rates fall, reserve income shrinks — and it faces growing competition from other stablecoin issuers, including Tether, which currently holds a much larger share of the stablecoin market.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+20.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-79.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

30.2%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.7B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Circle Internet is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 20%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
17.6%
Thin — 17.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
7.9%
Modest — 7.9% operating margin
ROCE
1.6%
Weak — 1.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+51.5%
Fast-growing sales (51.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-190.1%
Earnings shrinking (-190.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
15.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (15.7%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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