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Cummins

CMI
38
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
$648.48
+0.65 (+0.10%)
Market Cap
$89.48B
Winston Score
38
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

4.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 145.9M (2021) → 138.7M (2025)

Cummins makes engines and power equipment used in big trucks, buses, construction machines, and generators. The company sells to truck manufacturers like Paccar and Daimler, as well as mining and agricultural equipment makers. It is one of the largest independent engine makers in the world, with a strong presence in the heavy-duty diesel engine market.

Cummins earns money by selling engines, components, and filtration products, and also through aftermarket parts and service — which provides steady, recurring revenue even when new equipment sales slow down. The company operates globally, with major markets in North America, China, and India, and generates roughly $35 billion in annual revenue. Its deep relationships with truck manufacturers and a wide service network give it a durable competitive position, but the shift away from diesel engines toward electric and hydrogen powertrains is the central long-term challenge the business must navigate.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

8 trades / 12mo

3 Congressional buys and 5 sells on CMI in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+2.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-21.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$1.4B/ year

Flat (-5% vs prior year)

4.1% of revenue

In line with sector average (4%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

0.4%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$2.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Cummins is growing revenue at 3% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
26.7%
Modest — 26.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
11.3%
Modest — 11.3% operating margin
ROCE
4.7%
Weak — 4.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+0.1%
Nearly flat sales (0.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
-4.3%
Earnings shrinking (-4.3% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
147%
Turns 147% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
7.9%
Modest free cash flow (7.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.62
Moderate — manageable debt (0.62)
Interest Cover
11.62x
Comfortably covers interest (11.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
33.5x
Pricey — P/E 33.5

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+8.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (33.5 → 24.7)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.12%
Small dividend — 1.12% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+9.9%
Dividend growing modestly (9.9% YoY)

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