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Comfort Systems USA

FIX
67
Engineering & Construction · Industrials
Price
$1674.06
-6.54 (-0.39%)
Market Cap
$58.93B
Winston Score
67
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

2.8% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 36.5M (2021) → 35.4M (2025)

Comfort Systems USA installs and maintains heating, ventilation, air conditioning, plumbing, and electrical systems inside buildings. Its customers include commercial real estate owners, hospitals, schools, data centers, and manufacturers across the United States. The company is one of the largest mechanical and electrical contractors in the country, with a growing focus on the data center and advanced manufacturing markets.

Comfort Systems earns money by charging for installation projects and ongoing maintenance contracts, with service agreements providing a steadier stream of recurring revenue. It operates entirely within the United States through roughly 45 operating companies spread across dozens of local markets, giving it both national scale and local expertise that smaller competitors struggle to match. The biggest growth driver is the surge in data center construction tied to artificial intelligence infrastructure, though that same concentration creates risk if capital spending on data centers slows or large customers pull back on projects.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+56.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+120.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.2%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.1B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Comfort Systems USA grew revenue 56% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
26.3%
Modest — 26.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
16.9%
Healthy — 16.9% operating margin
ROCE
16.8%
Strong — 16.8% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+38.4%
Fast-growing sales (38.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
+107.5%
Earnings growing fast (107.5% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
136%
Turns 136% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
13.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.03
Conservative — low debt load (0.03)
Interest Cover
166.23x
Comfortably covers interest (166.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
48.2x
Expensive — P/E 48.2

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+5.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (48.2 → 43.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.14%
Small dividend — 0.14% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+73.3%
Dividend growing fast (73.3% YoY)

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