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Commerce Energy Group

CMNR
22
Diversified Utilities · Utilities
Winston Score
22
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Commerce Energy Group is a retail energy company that buys natural gas and electricity in bulk from producers and resells it directly to homes and small businesses. It operates as an independent energy retailer, meaning it does not own power plants or pipelines — it simply acts as a middleman between large energy suppliers and everyday customers. The company competes in deregulated energy markets, where consumers can choose their own energy supplier instead of being locked into a local utility.

The company makes money on the margin between what it pays for energy wholesale and what it charges customers on monthly bills. It has operated primarily in deregulated states across the United States, and with a thin gross margin around 12%, keeping customer acquisition costs low is critical to staying profitable. The main risk the business faces is commodity price volatility — when wholesale energy prices spike suddenly, margins can compress quickly, and retaining price-sensitive customers in a competitive retail market remains an ongoing challenge.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-100.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+99.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

5.3%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

$5M cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Commerce Energy Group's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
N/A
Data not available
Operating Margin
N/A
Data not available
ROCE
0.1%
Weak — 0.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-35.3%
Shrinking sales (-35.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
17.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (17.4%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.29
Conservative — low debt load (0.29)
Interest Cover
6.77x
Adequate interest coverage (6.8x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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