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Commercial Metals Company

CMC
34
Steel · Basic Materials
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Commercial Metals Company makes steel and steel products used in construction. Its main products include steel rebar, which reinforces concrete in buildings, bridges, and roads, along with steel merchant bar and other structural steel shapes. The company sells mostly to construction contractors and steel distributors across the United States and Europe.

CMC earns money by melting scrap metal in electric arc furnaces and selling the finished steel products at a markup. It operates a network of steel mills and fabrication facilities primarily in the U.S., with additional operations in Poland, making it one of the larger domestic rebar producers in North America. The company's vertically integrated model — controlling both the melting and the fabricating steps — helps keep costs lower than many competitors, but CMC's results are closely tied to construction spending levels, so a slowdown in infrastructure or housing activity remains the key risk to watch.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
18.2%
Thin — 18.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
7.3%
Modest — 7.3% operating margin
ROCE
2.0%
Weak — 2.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.3%
Shrinking sales (-0.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-26.4%
Earnings shrinking (-26.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
189%
Turns 189% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
3.3%
Thin free cash flow (3.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.76
Moderate — manageable debt (0.76)
Interest Cover
7.25x
Adequate interest coverage (7.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.9x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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