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Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais

CSMG3.SA
52
Regulated Water · Utilities
Price
R$63.56
-0.50 (-0.78%)
Market Cap
R$24.10B
Exchange
B3 S.A.
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais, known as COPASA, is a Brazilian state-controlled company that provides clean water and sewage treatment services to people and businesses in the state of Minas Gerais. It collects water from rivers and reservoirs, treats it, and delivers it through pipes to homes, schools, hospitals, and companies. COPASA is one of the largest water and sanitation utilities in Brazil, serving millions of customers across hundreds of municipalities.

The company makes money by charging customers monthly fees for water supply and sewage collection, with rates set and regulated by the state government of Minas Gerais. Because it operates under government-granted concessions, it faces little direct competition in the areas it serves, giving it a stable and predictable revenue stream. The main growth driver is expanding sewage coverage, since Brazil still has large gaps in sanitation infrastructure, but the key risk is regulatory pressure that could limit how much the company can raise its rates over time.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+3.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-14.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

50.3%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$8.4B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais is growing revenue at 3% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

0.0% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 379.2M (2021) → 379.2M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
42.4%
Healthy — 42.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
25.8%
Excellent — 25.8% operating margin
ROCE
3.0%
Weak — 3.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+4.0%
Slow sales growth (4.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-2.7%
Earnings shrinking (-2.7% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
159%
Turns 159% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
22.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (22.4%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.07
Elevated debt (1.07)
Interest Cover
3.56x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.6x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
17.8x
Fair value — P/E 17.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+4.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (17.8 → 12.9)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.09%
Moderate income — 2.09% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+2.9%
Dividend flat

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