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Conagra Brands

CAG
23
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Price
$14.28
-0.20 (-1.35%)
Market Cap
$6.83B
Winston Score
23
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Conagra Brands makes food that people buy at grocery stores and eat at home. Its products include frozen meals, snacks, and pantry staples sold under well-known names like Birds Eye, Marie Callender's, Slim Jim, Hunt's, and Vlasic. The company sells mostly to large retailers like Walmart and Kroger, making it one of the larger packaged food companies in the United States.

Conagra earns money by manufacturing and selling branded and store-brand food products to grocery chains, warehouse clubs, and foodservice operators. It operates primarily in the United States, with a smaller international business, and generates roughly $12 billion in annual revenue. The company's brand portfolio and shelf space relationships provide some competitive stability, but a negative ROIC signals that returns on invested capital are currently weak, and the main risk is that cost inflation, heavy debt from past acquisitions, and consumers trading down to cheaper store brands could continue to pressure profitability.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-1.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+40.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

0.7%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$55M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Conagra Brands's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

0.7% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 482.2M (2022) → 479.0M (2026)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
23.6%
Thin — 23.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.0%
Modest — 10.0% operating margin
ROCE
1.9%
Weak — 1.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-3.2%
Shrinking sales (-3.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-132.5%
Earnings shrinking (-132.5% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
12.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (12.0%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.80
Moderate — manageable debt (0.80)
Interest Cover
3.26x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
10.17%
Healthy income — 10.17% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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