Concejo AB (publ) logo

Concejo AB (publ)

CNCJO-B.ST
37
Security & Protection Services · Industrials
Price
kr 48.50
-0.50 (-1.02%)
Market Cap
kr 567.3M
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
37
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Winston Score below 40. The stock fails on most of our quality checks.

Concejo AB is a Swedish security services company that provides physical security, guarding, and alarm response services to businesses and public institutions across the Nordic region. Its core offerings include manned guarding, mobile patrols, and alarm monitoring, serving customers such as retailers, property owners, and government facilities. The company operates in the fragmented but stable security services industry in Scandinavia.

Concejo generates revenue primarily through long-term service contracts with corporate and public-sector clients, which provides some revenue predictability. The company is a mid-sized player in the Nordic market, competing against larger international firms like Securitas and G4S, which limits its pricing power and scale advantages. With an operating margin currently in negative territory, the key challenge facing Concejo is improving cost efficiency and contract profitability — particularly as labor costs, which make up the bulk of expenses in labor-intensive security services, continue to rise across Sweden and the broader Nordic region.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-25.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+81.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$8M/ year

Declining (-75% vs prior year)

1.6% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

80.5%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$76M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Winston looking concerned
Revenue declining

Concejo AB (publ)'s revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
45.4%
Healthy — 45.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
-9.8%
Losing money on operations — -9.8%
ROCE
-1.8%
Weak — -1.8% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-9.4%
Shrinking sales (-9.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
43%
Weak — only 43% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
1.0%
Thin free cash flow (1.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.03
Conservative — low debt load (0.03)
Interest Cover
0.92x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.9x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
10.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
16.33%
Healthy income — 16.33% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+16.9%
Dividend growing fast (16.9% YoY)

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