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Contact Energy Limited

CEN.NZ
49
Renewable Utilities · Utilities
Price
NZ$9.00
-0.08 (-0.88%)
Market Cap
NZ$9.64B
Exchange
New Zealand Exchange
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 10, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025

Share count rising — dilution

+7.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 739.0M (2021) → 797.2M (2025)

Contact Energy is a New Zealand electricity company that generates, sells, and distributes power to homes and businesses across the country. It runs a mix of geothermal and hydroelectric power stations, making most of its electricity from renewable sources. Contact is one of New Zealand's largest integrated energy companies, owning both generation assets and a retail customer business.

The company makes money by selling electricity and natural gas directly to residential and commercial customers under retail contracts, while also trading power in the wholesale market. It operates entirely within New Zealand, serving hundreds of thousands of customers. Contact's geothermal assets give it a natural advantage — geothermal power is cheap to run once built and produces steady output regardless of weather. The main risk is that New Zealand's electricity market is competitive and wholesale prices can swing sharply, squeezing margins when generation costs rise or dry weather reduces hydro output.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+140.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

7.5%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$598M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Contact Energy Limited is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 12%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
33.6%
Modest — 33.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
20.9%
Excellent — 20.9% operating margin
ROCE
4.4%
Weak — 4.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+2.3%
Nearly flat sales (+2.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+60.7%
Earnings growing fast (+60.7% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
158%
Turns 158% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
5.8%
Thin free cash flow (5.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.71
Moderate — manageable debt (0.71)
Interest Cover
6.20x
Adequate interest coverage (6.2x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.0x
Growth-priced — P/E 20.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-3.2
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.31%
Healthy income — 4.31% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+0.8%
Dividend flat

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