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Core & Main

CNM
35
Industrial - Distribution · Industrials
Winston Score
35
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Core & Main sells pipes, valves, meters, and other water infrastructure products to municipalities, utilities, and construction contractors across the United States. The company is one of the largest distributors of water, wastewater, and storm drainage products in the country, acting as the middleman between manufacturers and the crews that build or repair underground water systems.

The company makes money by buying products in bulk from manufacturers and reselling them at a markup through its network of roughly 350 branch locations nationwide. Its scale and deep relationships with both suppliers and local government customers create a distribution advantage that is hard for smaller rivals to replicate. The main growth driver is aging water infrastructure across the U.S., which is pushing municipalities to spend more on upgrades — a trend supported by federal funding from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act — though rising interest rates and slower construction activity remain risks to near-term demand.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-6.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+8.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$220M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Core & Main's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
27.1%
Modest — 27.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
7.5%
Modest — 7.5% operating margin
ROCE
2.8%
Weak — 2.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+1.1%
Nearly flat sales (1.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
-4.8%
Earnings shrinking (-4.8% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
200%
Turns 200% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
10.3%
Modest free cash flow (10.3%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.08
Elevated debt (1.08)
Interest Cover
5.15x
Adequate interest coverage (5.2x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.9x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 20.9

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+3.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (20.9 → 17.4)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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