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Cerence

CRNC
39
Software - Application · Technology
Price
$8.63
-0.61 (-6.60%)
Market Cap
$390.0M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
39
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+9.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 39.3M (2021) → 43.2M (2025)

Cerence Inc. provides AI powered virtual assistants for the mobility/transportation market worldwide. The company offers edge software components; cloud-connected components and related toolkits and applications; and virtual assistant coexistence and professional services. It also provides conversational artificial intelligence-based solutions, including speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech, and acoustic modeling technology. Cerence Inc. i

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-17.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-92.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$98M/ year

Declining (-20% vs prior year)

38.8% of revenue

2.6x the sector average (15%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

3.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$108M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Cerence's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
73.7%
Premium pricing power — 73.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
-3.6%
Losing money on operations — -3.6%
ROCE
-0.7%
Weak — -0.7% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-14.0%
Shrinking sales (-14.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
911%
Turns 911% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
19.8%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (19.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.12
Elevated debt (1.12)
Interest Cover
2.01x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
52.6x
Expensive — P/E 52.6

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+39.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (52.6 → 13.2)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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