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CTO Realty Growth

CTO
53
REIT - Diversified · Real Estate
Price
$22.22
-0.14 (-0.63%)
Market Cap
$750.7M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
53
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+82.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 17.7M (2021) → 32.3M (2025)

CTO Realty Growth is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and manages retail shopping centers across the United States. Its tenants are mostly grocery stores, restaurants, and everyday retailers — the kinds of businesses people visit regularly. The company focuses on open-air shopping centers, which are strip malls and lifestyle centers rather than enclosed malls.

CTO makes money by collecting rent from its retail tenants under long-term lease agreements. It operates primarily in Sun Belt markets — states like Florida, Texas, and the Southeast — where population growth has been strong. The company is relatively small, with a market cap around $700 million, and its competitive edge comes from owning properties in growing regions with steady consumer foot traffic. The main risk is tenant health: if retailers close stores or go bankrupt, CTO loses rental income, which directly pressures its ability to maintain dividend payments to shareholders.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+15.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

>+1,000% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

4.5%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$53M cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

CTO Realty Growth is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 15%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
75.3%
Premium pricing power — 75.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
24.2%
Excellent — 24.2% operating margin
ROCE
0.8%
Weak — 0.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+17.2%
Fast-growing sales (17.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
487%
Turns 487% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
44.5%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (44.5%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.13
Elevated debt (1.13)
Interest Cover
1.98x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (2.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
81.5x
Expensive — P/E 81.5

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+33.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (81.5 → 47.9)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
7.05%
Healthy income — 7.05% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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