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D.R. Horton

DHI
42
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$149.39
-5.03 (-3.26%)
Market Cap
$42.36B
Winston Score
42
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

15.3% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 365.8M (2021) → 309.9M (2025)

D.R. Horton builds and sells new homes across the United States. It targets a wide range of buyers, from first-time homeowners to move-up and luxury buyers, through brands like Express Homes (entry-level) and Emerald Homes (higher-end). It is the largest homebuilder in the United States by volume, closing more homes per year than any other builder.

The company makes money by constructing and selling homes, with additional revenue from mortgage financing and title services offered to its buyers. D.R. Horton operates in dozens of markets across more than 30 states, giving it geographic scale that smaller regional builders cannot easily match. Its size allows it to negotiate better prices on land and materials, which supports margins. The main risk the business faces is rising mortgage interest rates, which make monthly payments more expensive and can push buyers out of the market, slowing demand for new homes.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

19 trades / 12mo

10 Congressional buys and 9 sells on DHI in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
22.5%
Thin — 22.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.6%
Modest — 10.6% operating margin
ROCE
2.6%
Weak — 2.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-4.9%
Shrinking sales (-4.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
-17.4%
Earnings shrinking (-17.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
70%
Modest — 70% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
6.4%
Modest free cash flow (6.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.28
Conservative — low debt load (0.28)
Interest Cover
69.87x
Comfortably covers interest (69.9x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
13.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 13.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.7
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.10%
Small dividend — 1.10% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+16.7%
Dividend growing fast (16.7% YoY)

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