Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated

DBD

Software - Application · Technology

Price

$85.67

+0.50 (+0.59%)

Market Cap

$2.97B

Winston Score

Winston is serious

Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

−52.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 78.3M (2021) → 37.2M (2025)

Diebold Nixdorf makes ATMs and self-checkout machines. Banks use its ATMs to let customers deposit and withdraw cash, while retailers like grocery stores use its checkout systems to process purchases. The company also sells software and services that help banks and stores manage and maintain these machines, making it one of the largest ATM manufacturers in the world.

Diebold Nixdorf earns money through hardware sales, long-term service contracts, and software licenses. It operates globally, with significant business in North America, Europe, and Asia, and generates roughly $3.7 billion in annual revenue. Its large installed base of machines creates a recurring stream of service and maintenance revenue, which is a key competitive advantage. However, the company carries a heavy debt load following a bankruptcy restructuring completed in 2023, and its ability to grow depends on whether banks continue investing in physical cash infrastructure as digital payments expand.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 1 sell on DBD in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+826.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$84M/ year

↓ Declining (-10% vs prior year)

2.2% of revenue

Below sector average (15%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

13.2%ownership

↓ Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$387M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 12%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

27.1%

Modest — 27.1% gross margin

Operating Margin

11.6%

Modest — 11.6% operating margin

ROCE

5.8%

Weak — 5.8% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+1.5%

Nearly flat sales (1.5% YoY)

EPS YoY

N/A

Data not available

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

318%

Turns 318% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

6.5%

Modest free cash flow (6.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.98

Moderate — manageable debt (0.98)

Interest Cover

3.35x

Tight — interest eats into profit (3.4x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

32.6x

Pricey — P/E 32.6

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward

+17.1

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (32.6 → 15.5)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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