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Dillard's

DDS
64
Department Stores · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$550.93
+6.01 (+1.10%)
Market Cap
$8.60B
Winston Score
64
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

24.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 20.6M (2022) → 15.6M (2026)

Dillard's is an American department store chain that sells clothing, shoes, accessories, beauty products, and home goods. Its customers are mostly middle- and upper-middle-income shoppers in the United States. The company operates around 270 stores, mostly in the South, Southwest, and Midwest, and also sells through its website.

Dillard's makes money by buying merchandise and selling it at a markup, earning revenue through in-store and online retail sales. It has a relatively strong gross margin for a department store, partly because it owns most of its store real estate rather than leasing it, which lowers costs and gives it financial flexibility. The main risk the company faces is the long-term decline in traditional department store shopping, as more consumers shift spending to online retailers and specialty stores, which puts steady pressure on foot traffic and sales volume.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-3.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-3.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

51.1%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$862M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Dillard's's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
33.9%
Modest — 33.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.4%
Modest — 10.4% operating margin
ROCE
9.0%
Below par — 9.0% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+6.4%
Slow sales growth (6.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
+33.0%
Earnings growing fast (33.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
141%
Turns 141% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
14.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (14.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.29
Conservative — low debt load (0.29)
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
10.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-3.5
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
5.79%
Healthy income — 5.79% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+2842.9%
Dividend growing fast (2842.9% YoY)

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