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Diversified Energy Company

DEC
44
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
$13.36
+0.02 (+0.15%)
Market Cap
$966.2M
Winston Score
44
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+87.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 39.7M (2021) → 74.5M (2025)

Diversified Energy Company is a U.S.-focused oil and natural gas producer that specializes in acquiring and operating mature, low-decline wells. These are older wells that have already been producing for years and still generate steady output. The company owns tens of thousands of wells, mostly in the Appalachian Basin and parts of the central U.S., selling natural gas and related liquids to utilities and energy buyers.

Diversified makes money by collecting revenue from ongoing well production and works to keep costs low on assets others have largely written off. It operates almost entirely in the United States and has grown mainly through acquisitions rather than drilling new wells. The company also has a well retirement program, which helps manage long-term environmental liabilities. The main risk is that its business model depends on commodity prices staying high enough to cover operating and debt costs, and it carries a significant amount of debt from buying those well packages.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
-2.4%
Thin — -2.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
12.7%
Healthy — 12.7% operating margin
ROCE
9.1%
Below par — 9.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-9.3%
Shrinking sales (-9.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
204%
Turns 204% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
3.5%
Thin free cash flow (3.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.24
Conservative — low debt load (0.24)
Interest Cover
0.33x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.3x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
4.7x
Attractive valuation — P/E 4.7

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
8.68%
Healthy income — 8.68% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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