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Douglas Elliman

DOUG
18
Real Estate - Services · Real Estate
Price
$1.88
-0.04 (-2.08%)
Market Cap
$170.9M
Winston Score
18
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+5.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 85.3M (2021) → 89.5M (2025)

Douglas Elliman is a residential real estate brokerage firm. It helps people buy, sell, and rent homes by connecting them with licensed real estate agents. The company operates mainly in high-end housing markets, including New York City, the Hamptons, South Florida, California, and other luxury markets across the United States.

Douglas Elliman makes money by taking a commission — a percentage of the sale price — on each property transaction its agents close. It is one of the largest residential brokerages in the U.S. by sales volume, with a strong brand in luxury real estate. However, the business is highly sensitive to housing market conditions, and the company has been losing money as rising interest rates slowed home sales activity. The key risk going forward is that commission-based revenue is difficult to grow when transaction volumes are low, and a recent legal settlement reshaping how agent commissions work across the industry adds further uncertainty.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
12.5%
Thin — 12.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
-6.4%
Losing money on operations — -6.4%
ROCE
-5.0%
Weak — -5.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-5.2%
Shrinking sales (-5.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-560%
Weak — only -560% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-3.0%
Burning cash (-3.0%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.61
Moderate — manageable debt (0.61)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
94.0x
Expensive — P/E 94.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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