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Dow

DOW
8
Chemicals · Basic Materials
Price
$29.92
+0.62 (+2.12%)
Market Cap
$21.56B
Winston Score
8
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

5.0% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 749.0M (2021) → 711.6M (2025)

Dow Inc. is one of the largest chemical companies in the world. It makes materials that other companies use to build things — like plastics, coatings, adhesives, and packaging materials. Its customers include manufacturers in industries such as construction, automotive, food packaging, and consumer goods.

Dow earns money by producing and selling chemicals and materials in bulk, so its profits depend heavily on the difference between raw material costs and selling prices. The company operates globally, with major operations in North America, Europe, and Asia, and generates roughly $40–45 billion in annual revenue. Its scale and long-term customer relationships give it some competitive stability, but its thin margins — and currently negative operating margin — show how vulnerable it is to swings in energy costs and weak demand. The biggest risk Dow faces is a prolonged period of high feedstock costs combined with slow global industrial activity, which squeezes profitability and limits its ability to generate returns for shareholders.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

10 trades / 12mo

6 Congressional buys and 4 sells on DOW in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-6.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-68.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$751M/ year

Declining (-7% vs prior year)

1.9% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$4.1B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Dow's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
6.5%
Thin — 6.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
-0.3%
Losing money on operations — -0.3%
ROCE
-0.1%
Weak — -0.1% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-7.7%
Shrinking sales (-7.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
-1095.2%
Earnings shrinking (-1095.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-3.5%
Burning cash (-3.5%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.19
Elevated debt (1.19)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.61%
no trend
Healthy income — 4.61% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
-50.0%
no trend
Dividend cut (-50.0% YoY) — warning sign

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