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Dynex Capital

DX
53
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Price
$13.33
-0.20 (-1.48%)
Market Cap
$2.02B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
53
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+281.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 32.8M (2021) → 125.1M (2025)

Dynex Capital is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) based in Glen Allen, Virginia. It invests in mortgage-backed securities — essentially bundles of home and commercial loans — rather than making loans directly to borrowers. The company focuses mainly on agency mortgage-backed securities, which are backed by the U.S. government or government-sponsored entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Dynex makes money by borrowing at short-term interest rates and investing in mortgage securities that pay higher long-term rates, pocketing the difference — a strategy called the "net interest spread." It operates entirely within the United States and is a smaller player in the mortgage REIT space, with a market cap around $2 billion. The biggest risk the company faces is interest rate volatility: when short-term rates rise faster than long-term rates, the spread it earns shrinks, which can directly pressure earnings and the dividends it pays to shareholders.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+170.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

-642.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.0%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$23.7B cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Strong grower

Dynex Capital is growing revenue at 171% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
100.0%
Premium pricing power — 100.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
92.0%
Excellent — 92.0% operating margin
ROCE
1.0%
Weak — 1.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+103.7%
Fast-growing sales (103.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+115.1%
Earnings growing fast (115.1% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
76%
Modest — 76% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
26.5%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (26.5%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
7.73
Heavy debt load (7.73)
Interest Cover
1.73x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.7x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
7.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 7.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.0
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
15.74%
Healthy income — 15.74% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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