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Energy Transfer LP

ET
46
Oil & Gas Midstream · Energy
Price
$20.32
+0.12 (+0.59%)
Market Cap
$69.92B
Winston Score
46
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+33.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 2.74B (2021) → 3.65B (2025)

Energy Transfer LP is one of the largest pipeline and energy infrastructure companies in the United States. It moves natural gas, crude oil, and other energy products through a massive network of pipelines, storage facilities, and terminals. Its customers are energy producers, utilities, and industrial companies that need to transport fuel from where it is drilled to where it is used.

Energy Transfer makes money by charging fees each time energy flows through its pipelines and facilities, which provides relatively steady income regardless of oil and gas prices. It operates across roughly 125,000 miles of pipeline, mainly in the U.S., making it one of the most extensive midstream networks in the country. The company carries significant debt, which is common in this capital-heavy industry, and its main risk is that a long-term decline in fossil fuel demand could reduce the volume of energy flowing through its systems over time.

Winston Score History

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
25.8%
Modest — 25.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.6%
Modest — 10.6% operating margin
ROCE
2.3%
Weak — 2.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.1%
Shrinking sales (-0.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
+5.4%
Modest earnings growth (5.4% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
207%
Turns 207% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
4.7%
Thin free cash flow (4.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.04
Heavy debt load (2.04)
Interest Cover
2.84x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.8x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
14.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 14.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+3.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (14.9 → 11.5)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
6.91%
Healthy income — 6.91% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+3.1%
Dividend growing modestly (3.1% YoY)

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