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Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE
49
Insurance - Property & Casualty · Financial Services
Price
$227.31
+1.37 (+0.61%)
Market Cap
$10.50B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+14.1% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 46.2M (2021) → 52.7M (2025)

Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. The company provides sales, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal services for the policyholders on behalf of the Erie Insurance Exchange. It also offers sales related services, including agent compensation, and sales and advertising support services; and underwriting services comprise underwriting and policy processing; and other services consist of custom

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

13 trades / 12mo

7 Congressional buys and 6 sells on ERIE in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+2.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+8.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

46.1%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$229M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Erie Indemnity Company is growing revenue at 2% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
14.5%
Thin — 14.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
16.4%
Healthy — 16.4% operating margin
ROCE
7.1%
Weak — 7.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+4.8%
Slow sales growth (4.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-6.9%
Earnings shrinking (-6.9% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
116%
Turns 116% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
13.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.1%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.5x
Fair value — P/E 18.5

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-2.0
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.18%
Moderate income — 2.18% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+7.1%
Dividend growing modestly (7.1% YoY)

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