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Expeditors International of Washington

EXPD
51
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials
Price
$182.80
+0.84 (+0.46%)
Market Cap
$23.91B
Winston Score
51
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

20.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 171.3M (2021) → 136.2M (2025)

Expeditors International is a freight logistics company that helps businesses move goods around the world. It arranges air freight, ocean freight, and customs brokerage services — essentially acting as a middleman between shippers and carriers like airlines and shipping lines. Its customers include manufacturers, retailers, and other large companies that need to import or export products across international borders.

Expeditors makes money by charging fees for organizing shipments and handling customs paperwork, rather than owning planes or ships itself. This "asset-light" model keeps costs low and has helped the company earn strong returns on capital, reflected in its 28% ROIC. It operates a global network spanning over 60 countries, with particular strength in trans-Pacific trade lanes connecting Asia and North America. The main risk is that its revenue is closely tied to global trade volumes, which can drop sharply during economic slowdowns or supply chain disruptions, as seen during the 2022 freight market correction.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

6 trades / 12mo

4 Congressional buys and 2 sells on EXPD in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+4.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+16.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.6%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.3B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Expeditors International of Washington is growing revenue at 4% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
34.9%
Modest — 34.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.6%
Modest — 10.6% operating margin
ROCE
12.3%
Good — 12.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+1.1%
Nearly flat sales (1.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
+2.8%
Flat earnings

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
116%
Turns 116% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
8.2%
Modest free cash flow (8.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.05
Conservative — low debt load (0.05)
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
29.4x
Growth-priced — P/E 29.4

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+4.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (29.4 → 24.7)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.94%
Small dividend — 0.94% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+10.8%
Dividend growing fast (10.8% YoY)

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