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First Citizens BancShares

FCNCB
48
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$1810.01
-79.99 (-4.23%)
Market Cap
$23.47B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
48
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+25.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 9.8M (2021) → 12.4M (2025)

First Citizens BancShares is a regional bank headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina. It offers everyday banking services like checking accounts, savings accounts, loans, and mortgages to regular people and businesses. It is one of the largest family-controlled banks in the United States and became significantly bigger in 2023 when it acquired most of Silicon Valley Bank after that bank collapsed.

First Citizens makes money by collecting interest on loans and charging fees for banking services. It operates primarily across the United States, with a particularly strong presence on the East Coast and, after the SVB deal, a notable footprint serving technology and life sciences companies. The SVB acquisition brought in a large, specialized commercial banking business, which is both a growth opportunity and a risk — if the tech sector weakens or loan losses rise in that portfolio, it could put pressure on the bank's earnings.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
66.5%
Premium pricing power — 66.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
20.3%
Excellent — 20.3% operating margin
ROCE
1.3%
Weak — 1.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.7%
Shrinking sales (-1.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
-0.4%
Earnings shrinking (-0.4% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
133%
Turns 133% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
14.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (14.1%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.54
Elevated debt (1.54)
Interest Cover
0.62x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.6x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
10.4x
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.4

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-0.1
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.40%
Small dividend — 0.40% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+10.1%
Dividend growing fast (10.1% YoY)

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