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FedEx Corporation

FDX
54
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials
Price
$312.98
-5.22 (-1.64%)
Market Cap
$74.68B
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

10.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 266.0M (2022) → 239.0M (2026)

FedEx is a shipping and delivery company that moves packages and freight for businesses and individuals around the world. Its main services include overnight express delivery, ground shipping, and freight transport for large items. Customers range from small online sellers to major retailers and manufacturers who need goods moved quickly and reliably.

FedEx makes money by charging fees for each shipment, with prices based on speed, weight, and distance. It operates in over 220 countries and territories, making it one of the largest logistics networks on the planet. The company's size and its own fleet of planes, trucks, and sorting facilities give it a scale advantage that is hard for smaller rivals to match. The biggest risk FedEx faces is slowing e-commerce growth combined with rising fuel and labor costs, which squeeze its already thin operating margins and make consistent profitability a challenge.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

15 trades / 12mo

9 Congressional buys and 6 sells on FDX in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+8.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+14.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

7.6%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$8.0B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

FedEx Corporation is growing revenue at 8% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
26.0%
Modest — 26.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
5.6%
Thin — 5.6% operating margin
ROCE
2.4%
Weak — 2.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+4.3%
Slow sales growth (4.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+18.4%
Earnings growing fast (18.4% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
185%
Turns 185% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
4.7%
Thin free cash flow (4.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.85
Moderate — manageable debt (0.85)
Interest Cover
16.49x
Comfortably covers interest (16.5x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.5x
Fair value — P/E 16.5

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+3.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (16.5 → 12.7)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.43%
Small dividend — 1.43% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-0.4%
Dividend cut (-0.4% YoY) — warning sign

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