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Fortescue Metals Group Limited

FSUGY
57
Industrial Materials · Basic Materials
Price
$26.53
+0.46 (+1.76%)
Market Cap
$40.84B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
57
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Fortescue Metals Group is an Australian mining company that digs iron ore out of the ground in Western Australia and ships it to customers in Asia, mainly China. Iron ore is a key ingredient used to make steel, which goes into buildings, cars, and infrastructure. Fortescue is one of the largest iron ore producers in the world, competing with giants like BHP and Rio Tinto.

The company makes money by selling iron ore by the tonne, so its revenue rises and falls with global iron ore prices. Nearly all of its mines and operations are in the Pilbara region of Western Australia, and it owns its own railways and port facilities, which keeps costs low and gives it a logistical edge over smaller rivals. Fortescue is also investing heavily in green hydrogen and renewable energy through its Fortescue Future Industries division, which is a major growth bet but also a significant financial risk if demand for green energy develops more slowly than expected.

Winston Score History

Share count broadly stable

0.3% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.54B (2021) → 1.54B (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
39.5%
Modest — 39.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
33.5%
Excellent — 33.5% operating margin
ROCE
10.7%
Below par — 10.7% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-17.8%
Shrinking sales (-17.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-41.4%
Earnings shrinking (-41.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
175%
Turns 175% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
22.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (22.3%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.24
Conservative — low debt load (0.24)
Interest Cover
15.73x
Comfortably covers interest (15.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
5.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 5.3

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-8.5
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
6.61%
Healthy income — 6.61% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
-35.3%
Dividend cut (-35.3% YoY) — warning sign

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