Fossil Group

FOSL

Luxury Goods · Consumer Cyclical

Price

$4.14

-0.07 (-1.66%)

Market Cap

$244.7M

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is worried

Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+2.5% over 5y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 52.8M (2021) → 54.1M (2026)

Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands, as well as purchases and resells branded products in non-FOSSIL branded retail stores. The company offers its products under its p

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue data limited

EPS Growth

YoY Growth Rate

EPS data limited

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

17.9%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$96M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

57.4%

Premium pricing power — 57.4% gross margin

Operating Margin

4.5%

Thin — 4.5% operating margin

ROCE

4.5%

Weak — 4.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-11.4%

Shrinking sales (-11.4% YoY)

EPS YoY

N/A

—

Data not available

EPS Consistency

2/8 quarters

Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

N/A

—

Data not available

FCF Margin

-3.7%

Burning cash (-3.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

1.73

Elevated debt (1.73)

Interest Cover

0.86x

Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.9x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/M

—

Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful

P/E vs Forward

N/A

not available

Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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