Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) Stock Analysis & Winston Score

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., a low-fare airline company, provides air transportation for passengers. The company operates an airline that serves approximately 120 airports throughout the United States and international destinations in the Americas. It offers its services through direct distribution channels, including its website, mobile app, and call center. As of December 31, 2021, the company had a fleet of 110 Airbus single-aisle aircraft comprising, 16 A320ceos, 73 A320neos, and 21 A321ce

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-0.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-4.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

61.6%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~13 months

$671M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Revenue declining

Frontier Group Holdings's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

46.5%

Healthy — 46.5% gross margin

Operating Margin

4.9%

Thin — 4.9% operating margin

ROCE

4.4%

Weak — 4.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-1.4%

Shrinking sales (-1.4% YoY)

EPS YoY

-264.9%

Earnings shrinking (-264.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency

0/8 quarters

Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

N/A

Data not available

FCF Margin

-14.0%

Burning cash (-14.0%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

1.25

Elevated debt (1.25)

Interest Cover

N/A

Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/M

no trend

Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful

P/E vs Forward

N/A

not available

Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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