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Full Truck Alliance Co. logo

Full Truck Alliance Co.

YMM
58
Software - Application · Technology
Price
$9.14
-0.20 (-2.14%)
Market Cap
$9.56B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
58
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

2.7% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.08B (2021) → 1.05B (2025)

Full Truck Alliance (known as "Manbang" in China) runs a digital platform that connects shippers who need to move goods with truck drivers who have available capacity. Think of it like a ride-hailing app, but for freight. It serves hundreds of thousands of businesses across China that need to ship cargo, and millions of independent truck drivers looking for loads.

The company makes money by charging transaction fees and membership subscriptions to both shippers and drivers, and it also earns revenue from financial services and freight brokerage. It operates almost entirely within China, making it the largest digital trucking platform in the country by volume. Its scale creates a network effect — more shippers attract more drivers, and vice versa — which is a meaningful competitive advantage. The key growth driver is the ongoing shift from offline, fragmented freight matching toward digital platforms, but regulatory scrutiny from Chinese authorities (the company faced a government cybersecurity review in 2021) remains an ongoing risk.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-21.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$874M/ year

Flat (-1% vs prior year)

7.0% of revenue

Below sector average (15%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

28.8%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$33.3B cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Full Truck Alliance Co. is growing revenue at 5% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
72.7%
Premium pricing power — 72.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
35.3%
Excellent — 35.3% operating margin
ROCE
2.5%
Weak — 2.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+8.3%
Steady sales growth (8.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+638.8%
Earnings growing fast (638.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
38%
Weak — only 38% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
11.8%
Modest free cash flow (11.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
0.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 0.3

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.3
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.89%
Moderate income — 2.89% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
N/A
no trend
Data not available

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