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FutureFuel

FF
15
Chemicals · Basic Materials
Price
$4.80
+0.18 (+3.90%)
Market Cap
$210.5M
Winston Score
15
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

FutureFuel Corp. is a chemical company based in Batesville, Arkansas. It makes two main types of products: specialty chemicals used by other manufacturers, and biofuels, primarily biodiesel made from vegetable oils and animal fats. Its customers include large industrial companies and fuel blenders across the United States.

The company earns revenue by selling these chemicals and biodiesel in bulk, so its profits are closely tied to raw material costs and commodity prices. FutureFuel operates almost entirely within the United States and is a relatively small player in both industries, with a market cap of around $200 million. The negative margins shown in recent financials reflect how badly commodity price swings and weak biodiesel demand can hurt a company of this size — the biggest ongoing risk is that input costs, like soybean oil, rise faster than the prices FutureFuel can charge for its products.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+82.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-17.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$4M/ year

Flat (-3% vs prior year)

4.0% of revenue

In line with sector average (3%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

40.7%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~3 months

$22M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Revenue accelerating

FutureFuel grew revenue 82% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

+0.1% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 43.8M (2021) → 43.8M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
-13.2%
Thin — -13.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
-28.8%
Losing money on operations — -28.8%
ROCE
-6.5%
Weak — -6.5% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-45.6%
Shrinking sales (-45.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-56.3%
Burning cash (-56.3%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.05%
Healthy income — 4.05% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
-41.7%
Dividend cut (-41.7% YoY) — warning sign

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