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Gates Industrial Corporation

GTES
48
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
$26.61
-0.34 (-1.26%)
Market Cap
$6.76B
Winston Score
48
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

12.4% over 3y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 297.3M (2022) → 260.5M (2025)

Gates Industrial Corporation makes belts, hoses, and fluid power systems used inside machines and vehicles. Their products help transfer power and move fluids in things like cars, trucks, farm equipment, and factory machines. Gates is one of the largest makers of power transmission belts in the world, selling to both vehicle manufacturers and the aftermarket replacement parts market.

Gates earns money by selling its components to industrial companies, automakers, and distributors across more than 100 countries. The company operates globally, with significant revenue coming from both North America and Europe, and generates roughly $3.5 billion in annual sales. Its competitive edge comes from strong brand recognition in the replacement parts market, where mechanics and repair shops specifically request Gates products by name — but the company faces real risk from slowing industrial activity and the long-term shift toward electric vehicles, which use fewer belts and traditional fluid systems than combustion engines.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

5 trades / 12mo

3 Congressional buys and 2 sells on GTES in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+0.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+0.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$72M/ year

2.1% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

2.0%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$785M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Gates Industrial Corporation is growing revenue at 0% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
40.0%
Healthy — 40.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
13.5%
Healthy — 13.5% operating margin
ROCE
2.1%
Weak — 2.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+1.6%
Nearly flat sales (1.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
+18.1%
Earnings growing fast (18.1% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
201%
Turns 201% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
12.2%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (12.2%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.66
Moderate — manageable debt (0.66)
Interest Cover
3.22x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.2x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
27.2x
Growth-priced — P/E 27.2

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+10.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (27.2 → 17.1)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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