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GeoPark Limited

GPRK
50
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
$9.68
+0.16 (+1.68%)
Market Cap
$507.9M
Winston Score
50
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

16.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 61.5M (2021) → 51.5M (2025)

GeoPark Limited is an oil and gas company that finds, drills, and sells crude oil and natural gas. Its main product is crude oil, which it sells to refineries and energy traders. The company operates across South America, with its largest and most important operations in Colombia.

GeoPark makes money by producing oil and selling it at market prices, so its revenue rises and falls with global oil prices. It operates in Colombia, Chile, Brazil, and Ecuador, and generates roughly $600 million in market value as a mid-size independent producer. Its main competitive edge comes from low production costs and deep regional expertise in Latin American basins, which most larger international companies overlook. The biggest risk the company faces is its heavy dependence on oil prices and on a single country, Colombia, where political and regulatory changes could significantly affect its ability to operate and grow.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
48.2%
Healthy — 48.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
35.3%
Excellent — 35.3% operating margin
ROCE
5.0%
Weak — 5.0% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-2.0%
Shrinking sales (-2.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-30.1%
Earnings shrinking (-30.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
166%
Turns 166% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-0.7%
Burning cash (-0.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.10
Heavy debt load (2.10)
Interest Cover
2.25x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
9.0x
Attractive valuation — P/E 9.0

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+2.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.54%
Moderate income — 2.54% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
-60.9%
Dividend cut (-60.9% YoY) — warning sign

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