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Gevo

GEVO
24
Chemicals - Specialty · Basic Materials
Price
$1.63
+0.04 (+2.52%)
Market Cap
$396.8M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
24
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+19.5% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 195.8M (2021) → 234.0M (2025)

Gevo, Inc. operates as a renewable fuels company. It operates through four segments: Gevo, Agri-Energy, Renewable Natural Gas, and Net-Zero. The company commercializes gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel fuel to achieve zero carbon emissions, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions with sustainable alternatives. Its products also include renewable gasoline and diesel, isooctane, isobutanol, sustainable aviation fuel, renewable natural gas, isobutylene, ethanol, and animal feed and protein. Gevo, Inc. has

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+47.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

+2.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$5M/ year

Declining (-81% vs prior year)

2.8% of revenue

In line with sector average (3%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

5.0%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

~8 months

$79M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Strong grower

Gevo is growing revenue at 48% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
52.9%
Healthy — 52.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
-11.4%
Losing money on operations — -11.4%
ROCE
-0.8%
Weak — -0.8% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+314.9%
Fast-growing sales (314.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-25.0%
Burning cash (-25.0%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.37
Conservative — low debt load (0.37)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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