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Glencore

GLNCY
27
Industrial Materials · Basic Materials
Price
$13.89
+0.09 (+0.65%)
Market Cap
$81.38B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
27
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

9.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 6.67B (2021) → 6.03B (2025)

Glencore is one of the world's largest commodity companies. It mines and trades raw materials that factories and governments need to build things — including copper, cobalt, zinc, nickel, and coal. Its customers include steel mills, battery makers, and energy companies across the globe.

Glencore makes money in two ways: it digs materials out of the ground at its own mines, and it also buys and sells commodities as a trader, moving raw materials between producers and buyers worldwide. The company operates in over 35 countries, with major mining assets in Africa, Australia, and South America. Its trading business is a key competitive advantage because it gives Glencore unique market intelligence and the ability to profit even when commodity prices fall. The biggest risk the company faces is that commodity prices — especially for coal and copper — can swing sharply based on global economic conditions, directly hitting its already thin profit margins.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+14.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+170.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

22.0%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$19.1B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Glencore is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 14%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
2.6%
Thin — 2.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
1.7%
Thin — 1.7% operating margin
ROCE
2.8%
Weak — 2.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+1.0%
Nearly flat sales (1.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-106.6%
Earnings shrinking (-106.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
1.0%
Thin free cash flow (1.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.02
Elevated debt (1.02)
Interest Cover
1.03x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
226.0x
Expensive — P/E 226.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+203.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (226.0 → 22.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.95%
Small dividend — 1.95% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-69.7%
Dividend cut (-69.7% YoY) — warning sign

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