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Goosehead Insurance

GSHD
55
Insurance - Diversified · Financial Services
Price
$54.28
-0.89 (-1.61%)
Market Cap
$2.06B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
55
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+83.1% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 20.8M (2021) → 38.1M (2025)

Goosehead Insurance, Inc. operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that provides personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Corporate Channel and Franchise Channel. It offers homeowner's, insurance, automotive, dwelling property insurance, flood, wind, earthquake, excess liability or umbrella, motorcycle, recreational vehicle, general liability, property, and life insurance products and services. As of December 31, 2021,

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

1 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on GSHD in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+23.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+122.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

13.0%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$26M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Goosehead Insurance is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 23%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
96.5%
Premium pricing power — 96.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
16.1%
Healthy — 16.1% operating margin
ROCE
7.3%
Weak — 7.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+17.6%
Fast-growing sales (17.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
-13.6%
Earnings shrinking (-13.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
326%
Turns 326% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
24.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (24.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
3.30x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
44.9x
Pricey — P/E 44.9

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+25.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (44.9 → 19.2)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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