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Graco

GGG
51
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
$74.59
-1.58 (-2.07%)
Market Cap
$12.38B
Winston Score
51
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

3.0% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 174.5M (2021) → 169.2M (2025)

Graco Inc. makes pumps, valves, and sprayers that move fluids — things like paint, glue, lubricants, and sealants. Its customers include construction contractors, auto repair shops, factories, and food processing plants. Graco is one of the leading manufacturers of fluid-handling equipment in the world, and its products show up in industries ranging from home building to semiconductor manufacturing.

Graco sells its equipment outright and also generates recurring revenue from replacement parts and accessories, which customers need to keep their machines running. The company operates globally, with significant sales in North America, Europe, and Asia, and it generates over $2 billion in annual revenue. Its main competitive advantage is its reputation for durable, precise equipment that customers trust enough to specify by brand name. The key risk is that Graco's sales are tied closely to construction and industrial activity, so an economic slowdown that cuts capital spending can quickly reduce demand for its products.

Winston Score History

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0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on GGG in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+2.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-2.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$82M/ year

Declining (-6% vs prior year)

3.7% of revenue

In line with sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

1.0%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$712M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Graco is growing revenue at 2% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
52.0%
Healthy — 52.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
25.5%
Excellent — 25.5% operating margin
ROCE
4.9%
Weak — 4.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+4.6%
Slow sales growth (4.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
+8.0%
Modest earnings growth (8.0% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
131%
Turns 131% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
28.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (28.1%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.02
Conservative — low debt load (0.02)
Interest Cover
200.43x
Comfortably covers interest (200.4x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
23.9x
Growth-priced — P/E 23.9

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
-0.2
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.52%
Small dividend — 1.52% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+7.4%
Dividend growing modestly (7.4% YoY)

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