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Great Elm Capital

GECC
20
Asset Management · Financial Services
Price
$5.34
-0.09 (-1.66%)
Market Cap
$61.6M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
20
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+203.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 4.1M (2021) → 12.4M (2025)

Great Elm Capital Corp. is a specialty finance company that lends money to small and mid-sized businesses. Instead of taking deposits like a bank, it raises money from investors and uses it to make loans and buy debt securities — mostly to companies that larger banks often avoid. It operates as a Business Development Company (BDC), a special type of investment fund regulated by the U.S. government.

Great Elm earns money primarily through interest income on the loans and debt investments it holds in its portfolio. It operates mainly in the United States and is a small player in the BDC space, with a market cap around $100 million. BDCs like Great Elm face real credit risk — if the businesses they lend to struggle or default, losses can pile up quickly, and the negative return on invested capital signals that profitability has been under pressure. The key risk going forward is rising loan defaults if economic conditions weaken.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-63.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-227.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

40.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$0 cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Great Elm Capital's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
-72.1%
Thin — -72.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
-33.8%
Losing money on operations — -33.8%
ROCE
-0.3%
Weak — -0.3% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-131.8%
Shrinking sales (-131.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-750.0%
Earnings shrinking (-750.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
N/A
Data not available

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.57
Elevated debt (1.57)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
24.29%
Healthy income — 24.29% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+13.2%
Dividend growing fast (13.2% YoY)

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