Green Plains

GPRE

Chemicals - Specialty · Basic Materials

Price

$19.23

+2.02 (+11.74%)

Market Cap

$1.35B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is worried

Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+44.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 46.7M (2021) → 67.5M (2025)

Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services, and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces and sells ethanol, including industrial-grade alcohol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement, handling, and storage activities; and commodity marketing bus

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-24.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+142.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

3.5%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

~12 months

$183M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Revenue declining

Green Plains's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

17.1%

Thin — 17.1% gross margin

Operating Margin

12.8%

Healthy — 12.8% operating margin

ROCE

4.5%

Weak — 4.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-21.0%

Shrinking sales (-21.0% YoY)

EPS YoY

N/A

Data not available

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

N/A

Data not available

FCF Margin

4.6%

Thin free cash flow (4.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.66

Moderate — manageable debt (0.66)

Interest Cover

0.46x

Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.5x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/M

Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful

P/E vs Forward

N/A

not available

Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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