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Grupo Nacional Provincial, S.A.B.

GNP.MX
38
Insurance - Diversified · Financial Services
Price
110.00 MXN
-5.00 (-4.35%)
Market Cap
24.61B MXN
Exchange
Mexican Stock Exchange
Winston Score
38
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Jul 28, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Grupo Nacional Provincial (GNP) is one of Mexico's largest and oldest insurance companies. It sells a wide range of insurance products, including health, life, auto, and property coverage, to individual customers and businesses across Mexico. GNP is part of Grupo BAL, a major Mexican conglomerate, and has been operating for over a century, making it one of the most recognized insurance brands in the country.

GNP earns money by collecting premiums from policyholders and investing those funds, which is the standard insurance revenue model. It operates almost entirely within Mexico, giving it deep local market knowledge but also concentrating its risk in a single economy. The company's long history, brand recognition, and distribution network through agents and brokers provide a competitive edge. A key risk is Mexico's relatively low insurance penetration rate — while this represents a growth opportunity, it also means the market is sensitive to economic downturns that can cause customers to drop coverage.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-5.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+8.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

97.8%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.7B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Grupo Nacional Provincial, S.A.B.'s revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

+0.0% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 224.1M (2021) → 224.1M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
87.0%
Premium pricing power — 87.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
3.8%
Thin — 3.8% operating margin
ROCE
5.0%
Weak — 5.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.3%
Shrinking sales (-1.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-92.5%
Earnings shrinking (-92.5% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-3628%
Weak — only -3628% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-8.4%
Burning cash (-8.4%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
96.5x
Expensive — P/E 96.5

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+83.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (96.5 → 13.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.45%
Moderate income — 3.45% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+2.0%
Dividend flat

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