Guardian Capital Group Limited logo

Guardian Capital Group Limited

GCG-A.TO
48
Asset Management · Financial Services
Price
C$67.99
+0.02 (+0.03%)
Market Cap
C$1.67B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
48
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Winston Score between 40 and 70. The stock passes some quality checks but not all.

Guardian Capital Group is a Canadian financial services company that manages money for large institutions and individual investors. Its core business is investment management — it runs portfolios of stocks and bonds on behalf of pension funds, foundations, and wealthy clients. The company also owns a significant stake in BMO Financial Group, which is one of Canada's largest banks.

Guardian makes money through management fees charged as a percentage of the assets it oversees, meaning revenue grows when markets rise and client assets increase. It operates primarily in Canada but has some international investment management operations. The BMO shareholding gives Guardian a relatively stable base of value that is somewhat independent of its own operating performance. The main risk the business faces is fee compression, as institutional clients increasingly push for lower-cost passive investment strategies, which could pressure margins over time.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-5.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+82.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

34.8%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$132M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Winston looking concerned
Revenue declining

Guardian Capital Group Limited's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
36.7%
Modest — 36.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
-0.2%
Losing money on operations — -0.2%
ROCE
-0.0%
Weak — -0.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+20.2%
Fast-growing sales (20.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
+77.8%
Earnings growing fast (77.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
45%
Weak — only 45% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
19.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (19.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.10
Conservative — low debt load (0.10)
Interest Cover
2.72x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.7x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
8.7x
Attractive valuation — P/E 8.7

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-24.5
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.29%
Moderate income — 2.29% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+5.4%
Dividend growing modestly (5.4% YoY)

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