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Guzman y Gomez

GYG.AX
36
Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
36
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Guzman y Gomez, often called GYG, is a fast-food chain that serves Mexican-inspired food like tacos, burritos, and nachos. It targets everyday consumers looking for a quick, fresh meal and positions itself between traditional fast food and sit-down restaurants — a segment sometimes called "fast casual." The company was founded in Australia and has grown into one of the most recognized Mexican food brands in the country.

GYG makes money by operating its own restaurants and by charging franchise fees and royalties to independent operators who run GYG locations. The business is concentrated mainly in Australia, with a smaller number of locations in Singapore, Japan, and the United States. Its brand recognition and loyal customer base in Australia give it a local competitive edge, but the company is still relatively small and carries a low return on invested capital. The key growth driver is expanding its restaurant network, particularly in the U.S. market, though building scale in a new country is expensive and uncertain.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
21.7%
Thin — 21.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
8.7%
Modest — 8.7% operating margin
ROCE
4.8%
Weak — 4.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
N/A
Data not available

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
794%
Turns 794% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
2.1%
Thin free cash flow (2.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.06
Conservative — low debt load (0.06)
Interest Cover
1.92x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.9x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
126.1x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 126.1

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+92.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (126.1 → 34.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.93%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.93% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
N/A
no trend
Data not available

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