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Granite Construction Incorporated logo

Granite Construction Incorporated

GVA
39
Engineering & Construction · Industrials
Price
$124.03
-1.60 (-1.27%)
Market Cap
$5.43B
Winston Score
39
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+16.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 45.8M (2021) → 53.1M (2025)

Granite Construction builds roads, highways, bridges, tunnels, and other large infrastructure projects across the United States. Its main customers are federal, state, and local governments that hire Granite to design and build public works. The company also produces the raw materials used in construction, like crushed stone, sand, and asphalt, which it sells to other builders.

Granite makes money by winning government contracts through a competitive bidding process, then completing the work for a profit. It operates primarily in the western and southern United States, generating roughly $4 billion in annual revenue. Its vertically integrated model — owning quarries and materials plants alongside its construction crews — gives it a cost advantage over rivals that must buy materials from outside suppliers. The biggest risk the company faces is that project costs can run over budget due to labor shortages, material price spikes, or weather delays, which can quickly squeeze its already thin margins.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+30.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-24.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.8%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~14 months

$266M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Revenue accelerating

Granite Construction Incorporated grew revenue 30% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
12.0%
Thin — 12.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
-3.4%
Losing money on operations — -3.4%
ROCE
-1.3%
Weak — -1.3% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+14.9%
Fast-growing sales (14.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
+49.5%
Earnings growing fast (49.5% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
235%
Turns 235% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
6.5%
Modest free cash flow (6.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.32
Elevated debt (1.32)
Interest Cover
4.97x
Adequate interest coverage (5.0x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
29.3x
Growth-priced — P/E 29.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+4.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (29.3 → 25.1)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.36%
Small dividend — 0.36% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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