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HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital

HASI
53
Financial - Diversified · Financial Services
Price
$38.42
-0.46 (-1.18%)
Market Cap
$4.91B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
53
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+57.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 87.7M (2021) → 138.2M (2025)

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) is a specialty finance company that lends money to clean energy and sustainable infrastructure projects. Its customers include solar farms, wind projects, energy efficiency upgrades, and other environmentally focused assets across the United States. HASI acts as a lender and investor rather than building or operating these projects itself.

The company makes money by earning interest and returns on the loans and equity investments it makes in clean energy assets, similar to how a bank earns interest on loans. It operates primarily in the U.S. and manages a portfolio of roughly $12 billion in assets, giving it meaningful scale in the sustainable infrastructure lending space. HASI's growth depends heavily on continued demand for clean energy financing, but rising interest rates are a key risk because they increase the company's borrowing costs and can compress the profit margin between what it earns on investments and what it pays to fund them.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-32.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-221.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.4%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$4.5B cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
100.0%
Premium pricing power — 100.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
60.1%
Excellent — 60.1% operating margin
ROCE
1.0%
Weak — 1.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+28.6%
Fast-growing sales (28.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
-58.9%
Earnings shrinking (-58.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
417%
Turns 417% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
32.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (32.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.19
Heavy debt load (2.19)
Interest Cover
1.34x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
83.5x
Expensive — P/E 83.5

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+73.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (83.5 → 10.6)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.40%
Healthy income — 4.40% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+1.2%
Dividend flat

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