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Hagerty

HGTY
52
Insurance - Property & Casualty · Financial Services
Price
$12.02
+0.07 (+0.59%)
Market Cap
$4.13B
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+321.5% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 82.3M (2021) → 347.0M (2025)

Hagerty is a membership and insurance company built specifically for people who own classic and collector cars. Its main products are specialty auto insurance policies designed for vintage vehicles, along with a membership club that gives car enthusiasts access to roadside assistance, events, and a community of fellow collectors. Hagerty is the largest provider of specialty insurance for collector vehicles in the United States.

The company makes money through insurance premiums, membership fees, and marketplace services that help people buy and sell classic cars. It operates primarily in the United States and Canada, with some presence in the United Kingdom. Its moat comes from deep brand loyalty within the collector car community and data built over decades of insuring rare vehicles, which helps it price risk more accurately than general insurers. The key risk is that its customer base is a niche, aging demographic, and growth depends on attracting younger collectors to the hobby over time.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-2.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-185.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

7.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$367M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Hagerty's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
68.6%
Premium pricing power — 68.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
-6.7%
Losing money on operations — -6.7%
ROCE
-3.9%
Weak — -3.9% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+13.8%
Fast-growing sales (13.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
+142.4%
Earnings growing fast (142.4% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
529%
Turns 529% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
11.6%
Modest free cash flow (11.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.77
Moderate — manageable debt (0.77)
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
23.0x
Growth-priced — P/E 23.0

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+1.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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