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Happy Belly Food Group logo

Happy Belly Food Group

HBFG.CN
24
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Price
C$1.56
-0.01 (-0.64%)
Market Cap
C$231.3M
Exchange
Canadian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
24
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 9, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026

Share count rising — dilution

+31.1% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 98.8M (2021) → 129.6M (2025)

Happy Belly Food Group is a Canadian consumer food company that builds and acquires small food brands sold in grocery stores and online. Its portfolio focuses on better-for-you and specialty food products, targeting everyday shoppers looking for healthier or niche options. The company operates primarily in Canada and competes in the crowded packaged foods space alongside much larger brands.

Happy Belly makes money by selling its branded food products through retail grocery chains and e-commerce channels, earning revenue on each unit sold. It is a small-cap company with a market capitalization around $200 million, and its competitive position relies on owning recognizable niche brands rather than competing on price alone. However, the company's deeply negative operating margin of roughly -42% signals it is spending far more than it earns, making the path to profitability the central challenge and risk investors should watch closely.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+66.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

<−1,000% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

18.3%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~16 months

$7M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Strong grower

Happy Belly Food Group is growing revenue at 66% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
-51.9%
Thin — -51.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
-77.3%
Losing money on operations — -77.3%
ROCE
-67.0%
Weak — -67.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+119.7%
Fast-growing sales (+119.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-5.5%
Burning cash (-5.5%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.25
Conservative — low debt load (0.25)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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