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Deep Value: cash covers more than 100% of the stock price

This company holds roughly $2.9B in cash and investments — more than its entire stock-market value, based on its latest quarterly filing. You're paying very little for the actual business. Sometimes that's a genuine bargain or a takeover target, sometimes it's cheap for a reason. Not a buy signal on its own — always ask why it's this cheap.

Harley-Davidson logo

Harley-Davidson

HAR.F
29
Auto - Recreational Vehicles · Consumer Cyclical
Exchange
Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Winston Score
29
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 9, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Harley-Davidson makes motorcycles. It is one of the most recognized motorcycle brands in the world, selling heavyweight bikes like the Sportster, Softail, and Touring models mainly to adult riders in the United States and Europe. The company also sells motorcycle parts, accessories, and branded clothing and gear.

Harley-Davidson earns money by selling motorcycles through a network of dealerships, plus additional revenue from parts, accessories, and licensing its famous logo on merchandise. It also runs a financial services arm that offers loans and insurance to customers buying its bikes. The company operates globally but depends heavily on the U.S. market for most of its sales. Its main competitive advantage is brand loyalty — many Harley riders identify strongly with the brand — but the company faces real pressure from an aging core customer base, rising competition from cheaper rivals, and weak demand that has pushed margins and returns on capital to low levels in recent fiscal periods.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
26.5%
Modest — 26.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
6.2%
Modest — 6.2% operating margin
ROCE
1.4%
Weak — 1.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-5.2%
Shrinking sales (-5.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-14.9%
Earnings shrinking (-14.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
1/4 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-0%
Weak — only -0% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-3.1%
Burning cash (-3.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.72
Moderate — manageable debt (0.72)
Interest Cover
8.44x
Comfortably covers interest (8.4x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
13.2x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 13.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-30.0
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.90%
no trend
Moderate income — 2.90% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
-2.7%
no trend
Dividend cut (-2.7% YoY) — warning sign

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