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Hayward Holdings

HAYW
56
Electrical Equipment & Parts · Industrials
Price
$14.36
-0.54 (-3.62%)
Market Cap
$3.12B
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+10.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 200.6M (2021) → 222.2M (2025)

Hayward Holdings makes equipment for swimming pools. Its products include pumps, filters, heaters, lights, and automation systems that control how a pool runs. The company sells mostly to pool builders, contractors, and distributors across the residential and commercial pool market in the United States.

Hayward earns money by selling hardware and connected control systems, with a growing portion tied to smart pool technology that lets homeowners manage their pools from a smartphone. Most revenue comes from North America, though the company also has a presence in Europe and other international markets. Its large installed base of pool equipment creates a recurring need for replacements and upgrades, which provides some stability. The main risk is that new pool construction slows sharply when interest rates are high and housing activity cools, which directly reduces demand for Hayward's products.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

5 trades / 12mo

3 Congressional buys and 2 sells on HAYW in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+65.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$27M/ year

Rising (+6% vs prior year)

2.4% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

2.3%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~3 months

$136M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Hayward Holdings has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
44.0%
Healthy — 44.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
16.8%
Healthy — 16.8% operating margin
ROCE
1.7%
Weak — 1.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+7.6%
Steady sales growth (7.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
+33.2%
Earnings growing fast (33.2% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
68%
Modest — 68% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
7.0%
Modest free cash flow (7.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.60
Conservative — low debt load (0.60)
Interest Cover
4.07x
Adequate interest coverage (4.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.1x
Fair value — P/E 19.1

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-0.8
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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