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HCI Group

HCI
78
Insurance - Property & Casualty · Financial Services
Winston Score
78
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.

HCI Group is a Florida-based insurance company that sells homeowners insurance, mostly to people living in Florida. It also has a technology subsidiary called TypTap that uses data and software to help price and manage insurance policies more efficiently. HCI is one of the larger regional property insurers in Florida, a state with one of the most challenging home insurance markets in the country.

HCI makes money by collecting premiums from policyholders and investing those funds, while keeping costs low enough to stay profitable after paying claims. The company operates almost entirely in Florida, which gives it deep local expertise but also heavy exposure to hurricanes and natural disasters. Florida's insurance market has seen many competitors exit or go bankrupt in recent years, which has actually helped HCI pick up more customers — but a severe hurricane season remains the single biggest risk to its business.

Winston Score History

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0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on HCI in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+15.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

Insider Activity

14.3%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.0B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

HCI Group is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 12%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
73.0%
Premium pricing power — 73.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
47.5%
Excellent — 47.5% operating margin
ROCE
10.0%
Below par — 10.0% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+22.0%
Fast-growing sales (22.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
+122.0%
Earnings growing fast (122.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
94%
Modest — 94% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
30.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (30.3%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.06
Conservative — low debt load (0.06)
Interest Cover
66.37x
Comfortably covers interest (66.4x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
6.8x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 6.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-3.6
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.89%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.89% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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