Hello Group

MOMO

Internet Content & Information · Communication Services

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is serious

Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Hello Group Inc. provides mobile-based social and entertainment services in the People's Republic of China. It operates Momo platform that includes its Momo mobile application, as well as various related properties, features, functionalities, tools, and services. The company's Momo mobile application connects people and facilitates interactions based on location and interests; and various recreational activities, including live talent shows, short videos, and social games, as well as other video

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

37.2%

Modest — 37.2% gross margin

Operating Margin

11.5%

Modest — 11.5% operating margin

ROCE

2.6%

Weak — 2.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-2.7%

Shrinking sales (-2.7% YoY)

EPS YoY

-17.9%

Earnings shrinking (-17.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

146%

Turns 146% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

6.7%

Modest free cash flow (6.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.01

Conservative — low debt load (0.01)

Interest Cover

18.04x

Comfortably covers interest (18.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

8.9x

no trend

Attractive valuation — P/E 8.9

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward

+7.9

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (8.9 → 1.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

4.77%

no trend

Healthy income — 4.77% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth

-30.8%

no trend

Dividend cut (-30.8% YoY) — warning sign

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