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Herbalife Nutrition

HLF
44
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Winston Score
44
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Herbalife sells nutrition products like meal-replacement shakes, protein supplements, vitamins, and energy drinks. Its customers are everyday people trying to manage their weight or improve their health. The company operates in the packaged nutrition industry and is one of the largest direct-selling nutrition companies in the world.

Herbalife makes money by selling its products through a network of independent distributors — regular people who buy the products wholesale and resell them to end customers. It operates in over 90 countries, with significant revenue coming from markets like China, Mexico, and the United States. The company's distributor network creates a built-in sales force, but that same model is also its biggest risk — regulators have scrutinized multi-level marketing businesses like Herbalife for years, and ongoing legal or regulatory pressure, combined with high debt levels and declining sales volumes in recent years, remains a serious challenge for the business going forward.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+7.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+20.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

Insider Activity

2.9%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$451M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Herbalife Nutrition is growing revenue at 8% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
77.9%
Premium pricing power — 77.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.2%
Modest — 10.2% operating margin
ROCE
N/A
Data not available

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Growth

Sales YoY
+3.7%
Slow sales growth (3.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
-16.2%
Earnings shrinking (-16.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
186%
Turns 186% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
7.3%
Modest free cash flow (7.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
2.26x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
5.3x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 5.3

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+0.9
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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